The Economic Brief

Global Economic Highlights U.S. Economy Contracts Sharply: The U.S. economy shrank by -0.2% in Q1, a much steeper decline than expected. This has rattled markets and raised fears of a potential recession. However, durable goods orders rebounded by +8.6%, suggesting business investment remains resilient. Oil & Commodities Volatility: Oil prices briefly surged past $78 per barrel due to Middle East tensions but have since settled around $75, as OPEC+ signals possible production increases. Gold is holding steady near $1,950/oz, reflecting investor caution amid geopolitical uncertainty. UN Anti-Corruption Milestone: The UN Global Compact marked the end of its 15-year anti-corruption initiative, highlighting how ethical business practices have become central to sustainable development and investor confidence. Global Economic Outlook: According to Coface’s June 2025 Risk Review, the world economy is entering a phase of “uncertainty as the new normal.” Trade tensions, U.S. tariffs, an...