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The Economic Brief

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Global Economic Highlights U.S. Economy Contracts Sharply: The U.S. economy shrank by -0.2% in Q1, a much steeper decline than expected. This has rattled markets and raised fears of a potential recession. However, durable goods orders rebounded by +8.6%, suggesting business investment remains resilient. Oil & Commodities Volatility: Oil prices briefly surged past $78 per barrel due to Middle East tensions but have since settled around $75, as OPEC+ signals possible production increases. Gold is holding steady near $1,950/oz, reflecting investor caution amid geopolitical uncertainty. UN Anti-Corruption Milestone: The UN Global Compact marked the end of its 15-year anti-corruption initiative, highlighting how ethical business practices have become central to sustainable development and investor confidence. Global Economic Outlook: According to Coface’s June 2025 Risk Review, the world economy is entering a phase of “uncertainty as the new normal.” Trade tensions, U.S. tariffs, an...

On the Day (26th of June)

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  1900 – Japan Mobilizes Troops During Boxer Rebellion. Japan sent 20,000 troops to China, asserting its regional influence. This military-economic move foreshadowed Japan’s rise as a dominant power in East Asia. 1945 – United Nations Charter Signed. In San Francisco, 50 nations signed the UN Charter, laying the foundation for post-WWII international cooperation. Economically, this marked a shift toward global governance and multilateralism, influencing trade, development, and aid for decades. 2018 – Iranian Currency Crisis Protests. On June 26, protests erupted in Tehran over the collapsing rial. Citizens blamed government mismanagement and U.S. sanctions. It was the largest economic protest since 2012, highlighting Iran’s vulnerability to external pressure. 2025 – Asia Economic Summit in Jakarta Held on June 26, this summit brought together ASEAN leaders, investors, and tech innovators to discuss AI, digital infrastructure, and regulatory shifts. It reflected Southeast Asia’s...

Trump announces sweeping new tariffs to promote US manufacturing, risking inflation and trade wars

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  President Donald Trump declared on Wednesday a 10% baseline tax on imports from all countries and higher tariff rates on dozens of nations that run trade surpluses with the United States, threatening to upend much of the architecture of the global economy and trigger broader trade wars. Trump held up a chart while speaking at the White House, showing the United States would charge a 34% tax on imports from China, a 20% tax on imports from the European Union, 25% on South Korea, 24% on Japan and 32% on Taiwan. The president used aggressive rhetoric to describe a global trade system that the United States helped to build after World War II, saying “our country has been looted, pillaged, raped, plundered” by other nations. Trump declared a national economic emergency to launch the tariffs, expected to produce hundreds of billions in annual revenues. He has promised that factory jobs will return back to the United States as a result of the taxes, but his policies risk a sudden econom...

How Trump's Tariffs Can Impact World Economy?

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  Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" is coming. The US President has promised to restore the "golden age" of American wealth and independence by rolling out a set of massive tariffs that he says will free the United States from dependence on foreign goods. The action targeting countries that have persistent trade gaps with America is set to be announced on April 2, Wednesday, a day the White House dubbed "Liberation Day".  The American President is expected to shake up global markets and economies. It may also affect the lives of common Americans by further straining the family budgets as the next round of import taxes may raise the prices of several household commodities. The details of Trump's move are still sketchy, but most economic analyses say that average US families would have to absorb the cost of his tariffs in the form of higher prices and lower incomes.  But an undeterred Trump is inviting CEOs to the White House to say they are investing ...

Tesla sales decline in Europe in the first quarter

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  Tesla sales kept falling in March in many European markets as it suffered from a double blow of boycotts against the policies of its founder Elon Musk and an ageing model line-up. Sales of Tesla's electric cars in France fell 36.8 percent in March from a year ago amid a slight drop in the overall electric car market, according to figures released Tuesday by the Automotive Platform (PFA), which represents the country's manufacturers and suppliers. In Sweden, Tesla sales declined 63.9 percent in March and 55.2 percent in the first three months of the year, according to Mobility Sweden. The Tesla Model Y SUV, the country's top-selling car in the first quarter of 2024, is now behind two Volvos, the luxury Volkswagen ID.7, and a Subaru. In Denmark, Tesla sales fell 56 percent in the first quarter, according to Mobility Denmark. Germany, Britain and Italy will announce their March figures in the coming days. Already in the first two months of the year, Tesla's sales in th...

Trump’s Tariffs Could Hit the Economy More This Time, Fed’s Barkin Says

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Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin is seeing some evidence that the Trump administration’s tariffs could have a bigger impact on the economy than the levies imposed during the president’s first term. He told the Council on Foreign Relations in New York on Tuesday that the murky economic outlook makes determining the path of interest rates going forward more challenging. Yet Barkin said he remains cautious about formulating economic outlooks until the tariff policies are fully fleshed out. But there are indications that the latest trade policy decisions could affect the economy more this time around. “I don’t think this is going to be 2018 or 2019 by the way. Just the tariffs announced so far, if you include Mexico, and Canada, are four times the increase you saw in 2018,” Barkin said. President Donald Trump is expected to announce a series of tariff increases on Wednesday that could include a broad range of products, sectors, and countries. This follows 25% tariffs on imported vehicles ...

Economix | إيكونوميكس عربي

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  Our Arabic Blog Economix | إيكونوميكس عربي is available on:  economixarabic.blogspot.com يمكنكم الاطلاع على النسخة العربية من مدونة إيكونوميكس عبر الرابط:  economixarabic.blogspot.com